How it finished
Wrexham and Watford drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Wrexham at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Wrexham had 12 shots (2 on target) to Watford's 10 (6), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Wrexham vs Watford?
Wrexham and Watford drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Wrexham at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Wrexham had 12 shots (2 on target) to Watford's 10 (6), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 0.5.
What was the final score in Wrexham vs Watford?
Wrexham 1–1 Watford, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Wrexham 42%, the draw 28% and Watford 30%.
What were the stats in Wrexham vs Watford?
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–0.5, Shots 12–10, Shots on target 2–6, Shots inside box 10–5, Big chances 2–1, Corners 10–3, Saves 5–1, Fouls 13–11, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 2–0.
Did both teams score in Wrexham vs Watford?
Yes — both Wrexham and Watford scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Wrexham vs Watford right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Wrexham or draw 70%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 72%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.