England: ChampionshipSaturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Wrexham vWatford

Most likely scoreline
1–0
13% of the time · 2.42 goals expected
Wrexham 46%Draw 33%Watford 22%
How we get there
WrexhamstepWatford
1.47Base xG · rolling 26-match0.95
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.47Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.95

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Wrexham average 5.0 corners per game at home this season (24 competitive matches). Watford average 4.4 corners per game away from home this season (23 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
9
8
4
1
1
13
12
6
2
2
10
9
4
1
3
5
4
2
1
4
2
2
1
5
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Wrexham fixtures & form →Watford fixtures & form →

Wrexham vs Watford — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Wrexham and Watford — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Wrexham 46% · draw 33% · Watford 22%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Wrexham predictions & form →Watford predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.