ADO Den Haag vFC Groningen
Over 1.5 Goals lands at 86% confidence because both teams project 2.88 combined expected goals with ADO's narrow 0.28 xG edge giving the hosts just enough attacking edge to push a low-scoring fixture past one goal.
ADO Den HaagstepFC GroningenModel probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Groningen average 5.0 corners per game away from home this season (20 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
ADO Den Haag vs Groningen — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between ADO Den Haag and Groningen — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: ADO Den Haag 41% · draw 30% · Groningen 29%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
ADO Den Haag 1–4 FC GroningenModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.