How it finished
FC Groningen beat ADO Den Haag 4–1. Bawler's model favoured ADO Den Haag at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave FC Groningen 29%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. ADO Den Haag had 10 shots (4 on target) to FC Groningen's 17 (14), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 3.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won ADO Den Haag vs FC Groningen?
FC Groningen beat ADO Den Haag 4–1. Bawler's model favoured ADO Den Haag at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave FC Groningen 29%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. ADO Den Haag had 10 shots (4 on target) to FC Groningen's 17 (14), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 3.2.
What was the final score in ADO Den Haag vs FC Groningen?
ADO Den Haag 1–4 FC Groningen, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with ADO Den Haag 41%, the draw 30% and FC Groningen 29%.
What were the stats in ADO Den Haag vs FC Groningen?
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–3.2, Shots 10–17, Shots on target 4–14, Shots inside box 5–14, Big chances 2–7, Corners 5–2, Saves 10–3, Fouls 11–11, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in ADO Den Haag vs FC Groningen?
Yes — both ADO Den Haag and FC Groningen scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for ADO Den Haag vs FC Groningen right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said ADO Den Haag or draw 71%, it finished FC Groningen won (29% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 86%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.