SPAIN: LaLigaSaturday 15 Aug, 17:30 UTC

Alavés vGetafe

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Alavés 48%Draw 33%Getafe 19%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
69%
How we get there
AlavésstepGetafe
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
69%
Not both teams to score
55%
Getafe or draw
29%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Alaves average 6.1 corners per game at home this season (20 competitive matches). Getafe average 4.3 corners per game away from home this season (20 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Alavés fixtures & form →Getafe fixtures & form →

Alaves vs Getafe — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Alaves and Getafe — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Alaves 48% · draw 33% · Getafe 19%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Alaves predictions & form →Getafe predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Alavés 3–0 Getafe
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.