Bawler / Spain: La Liga / Getafe
Team profile

Getafe Prediction

Per-game numbers from 39 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
9.1
a game
11.2 faced
On target
2.7
a game
4.2 faced
Goals
0.8 – 1.1
scored – conceded
a game, 39 matches
Next match
35%
Getafe win chance
vs Racing Santander · Sun 23 Aug 17:30

Getafe prediction: for Getafe's next match — Getafe vs Racing Santander on Sunday 23 Aug, 17:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a draw looks most likely (37%).

Getafe sit close to the La Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.18 expected goals a game and conceding 1.25. Next up is Racing Santander, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 35%.

Getafe in numbers

39 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.8
Goals · per game
let in 1.1
Home 0.9Away 0.7
4.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.6
Home 4.2Away 4.3
9.1
Shots · per game
faced 11.2
Home 8.9Away 9.3
2.7
On target · per game
faced 4.2
Home 2.9Away 2.6
Last 6 games
15 Aug
0-3
@ Alaves
3-5
23 May
1-0
vs Osasuna
2-4
17 May
0-1
@ Elche
0-4
13 May
3-1
vs Mallorca
4-3
10 May
0-0
@ Real Oviedo
9-1
03 May
0-2
vs Rayo Vallecano
4-1

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Racing Santander · Sunday 23 Aug, 17:30 UTC

Win
35%
Getafe
Draw
37%
Loss
28%
Opponent
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Getafe compare with the Spain: La Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.18
Below average
Goals against
1.25
Tighter than most
Record
3W 1D 2L
6 settled
Real goals
1.0 – 1.0
For / against, per match
Scored1.18
Conceded1.25

The grey line on each bar is the Spain: La Liga average (1.44 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.18 xG per match · -0.25 above the Spain: La Liga average of 1.44.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.25 xG per match · -0.21 vs league average of 1.46.
Tough market: Result
Getafe matches give the model a harder read here — 1/4 (25%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

How Bawler has done on Getafe

50%
of high-confidence calls correct — 3 of 6, below the ~65% baseline — a hard team to read
Result25%1/4
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

Sat 15 Aug@ Alavés
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 23 Mayvs Osasuna
High confidence: X2
Sun 17 May@ Elche
High confidence: X2
Wed 13 Mayvs Mallorca
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 10 May@ Real Oviedo
High confidence: X2
Sat 21 Mar@ Espanyol
High confidence: 1X

Transfer activity

INEnes ÜnalSTfrom AFC BournemouthFree transfer
INMartín SatrianoSTfrom Lyon€6.5m
INOrel MangalaDMfrom LyonLoan
INAndrés GarcíaRBfrom Aston VillaLoan
INZaid Abner RomeroCBfrom Club Brugge€5m
INMario MartínCMfrom Real Madrid€3.5m
INRamon TerratsAMfrom Espanyol€2.5m
INSebastián BoselliCBfrom River PlateUndisclosed
OUTJuan IglesiasLWBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTMauro ArambarriCMto River Plate€3m
OUTLuis MillaCMto ComoFree transfer
OUTCoba da CostaLWto Al-Kholod€2m
OUTPeter GonzálezRWto Górnik ZabrzeUndisclosed
OUTDiego RicoLBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTDomingos DuarteCBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTGorka RiveraLMto Unionistas de Salamanca CFLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Getafe and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly