Albania beat Belarus 2–0. Bawler's model had Albania in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Albania had 20 shots (3 on target) to Belarus' 8 (2), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Albania beat Belarus 2–0. Bawler's model had Albania in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Albania had 20 shots (3 on target) to Belarus' 8 (2), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.6.
Albania 2–0 Belarus, played on 26 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Albania 49%, the draw 26% and Belarus 25%.
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.6, Shots 20–8, Shots on target 3–2, Shots inside box 8–5, Big chances 3–0, Corners 5–2, Saves 3–1, Fouls 9–23, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–4.
No. It finished 2–0, so Belarus failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Albania or draw 75%, it finished Albania won (49% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.