How it finished
Albania beat San Marino 2–1. Bawler's model had Albania in front at 95% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.9 goals; only 3 were scored. Albania had 26 shots (7 on target) to San Marino's 8 (3), with 70% of the ball against 30%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 82%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Albania vs San Marino?
Albania beat San Marino 2–1. Bawler's model had Albania in front at 95% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.9 goals; only 3 were scored. Albania had 26 shots (7 on target) to San Marino's 8 (3), with 70% of the ball against 30%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 0.6.
What was the final score in Albania vs San Marino?
Albania 2–1 San Marino, played on 06 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Albania 95%, the draw 5% and San Marino 1%.
What were the stats in Albania vs San Marino?
Full-time: Possession 70%–30%, Expected goals (xG) 2.7–0.6, Shots 26–8, Shots on target 7–3, Shots inside box 21–3, Big chances 3–1, Corners 10–1, Saves 2–5, Fouls 12–21, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–4.
Did both teams score in Albania vs San Marino?
Yes — both Albania and San Marino scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 21% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Albania vs San Marino right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Albania to win 95%, it finished Albania won (95% called); Total goals — we said 3.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 21%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.