Atlético Madrid beat Málaga 2–0. Bawler's model had Atlético Madrid in front at 78% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 2 were scored. Atlético Madrid had 15 shots (6 on target) to Málaga's 5 (1), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Atlético Madrid beat Málaga 2–0. Bawler's model had Atlético Madrid in front at 78% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 2 were scored. Atlético Madrid had 15 shots (6 on target) to Málaga's 5 (1), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.2.
Atlético Madrid 2–0 Málaga, played on 19 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atlético Madrid 78%, the draw 15% and Málaga 7%.
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–0.2, Shots 15–5, Shots on target 6–1, Shots inside box 8–4, Big chances 2–0, Corners 6–1, Saves 1–4, Fouls 17–11, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–3.
No. It finished 2–0, so Málaga failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Atlético Madrid to win 78%, it finished Atlético Madrid won (78% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 45%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Atlético Madrid or draw 93%, it finished Landed.