Austria beat Israel 3–1. Bawler's model had Austria in front at 85% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.9 goals and the match produced 4. Austria had 19 shots (9 on target) to Israel's 5 (1), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 0.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 82%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Austria beat Israel 3–1. Bawler's model had Austria in front at 85% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.9 goals and the match produced 4. Austria had 19 shots (9 on target) to Israel's 5 (1), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 0.2.
Austria 3–1 Israel, played on 24 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Austria 85%, the draw 11% and Israel 5%.
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 2.7–0.2, Shots 19–5, Shots on target 9–1, Shots inside box 15–3, Big chances 6–1, Corners 4–2, Saves 0–6, Fouls 15–4, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 3–4, Red cards 0–1.
Yes — both Austria and Israel scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Austria to win 85%, it finished Austria won (85% called); Total goals — we said 3.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.