How it finished
Austria beat Kosovo 3–1. Bawler's model had Austria in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Austria had 11 shots (6 on target) to Kosovo's 6 (1), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Austria vs Kosovo?
Austria beat Kosovo 3–1. Bawler's model had Austria in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Austria had 11 shots (6 on target) to Kosovo's 6 (1), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.4.
What was the final score in Austria vs Kosovo?
Austria 3–1 Kosovo, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Austria 57%, the draw 24% and Kosovo 20%.
What were the stats in Austria vs Kosovo?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.4, Shots 11–6, Shots on target 6–1, Shots inside box 8–4, Big chances 3–3, Corners 5–1, Saves 0–3, Fouls 21–15, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Austria vs Kosovo?
Yes — both Austria and Kosovo scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Austria vs Kosovo right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Austria or draw 80%, it finished Austria won (57% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes.