Turkey: Süper LigSunday 16 Aug, 18:30 UTC

Besiktas vEyupspor

Most likely scoreline
20
12% of the time · 2.82 goals expected
Besiktas 64%Draw 25%Eyupspor 12%
Strongest call
Besiktas to win
83%

Besiktas' home win is the high-confidence call at 64% probability, built on a decisive 1.26 expected-goals edge that reflects their superior attacking threat.

How we get there
BesiktasstepEyupspor
1.81Base xG · rolling 26-match0.83
× 1.13Home advantage · Home× 0.94
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
2.04Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.78
Most likely outcomes
Besiktas to win
83%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
Over 3.5 goals
24%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Besiktas average 6.1 corners per game at home this season (18 competitive matches). Eyüpspor average 3.0 corners per game away from home this season (17 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
6
5
2
1
12
9
4
1
2
12
10
4
1
3
8
7
3
1
4
4
3
1
5
2
1
1
6
1
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Besiktas vs Eyupspor — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Besiktas and Eyupspor — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Besiktas 64% · draw 25% · Eyupspor 12%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.