How it finished
Canada beat Chile 1–0. Bawler's model had Canada in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Canada had 22 shots (6 on target) to Chile's 11 (3), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Canada vs Chile?
Canada beat Chile 1–0. Bawler's model had Canada in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Canada had 22 shots (6 on target) to Chile's 11 (3), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Canada vs Chile?
Canada 1–0 Chile, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Canada 55%, the draw 25% and Chile 20%.
What were the stats in Canada vs Chile?
Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Expected goals (xG) 2.6–1.1, Shots 22–11, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 16–4, Big chances 4–2, Corners 13–2, Saves 3–5, Fouls 18–16, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 3–2, Red cards 0–2.
Did both teams score in Canada vs Chile?
No. It finished 1–0, so Chile failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Canada vs Chile right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Canada or draw 80%, it finished Canada won (55% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.