How it finished
Canada beat Peru 2–0. Bawler's model had Canada in front at 70% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Canada had 17 shots (3 on target) to Peru's 4 (0), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Canada vs Peru?
Canada beat Peru 2–0. Bawler's model had Canada in front at 70% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Canada had 17 shots (3 on target) to Peru's 4 (0), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.2.
What was the final score in Canada vs Peru?
Canada 2–0 Peru, played on 03 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Canada 70%, the draw 21% and Peru 9%.
What were the stats in Canada vs Peru?
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–0.2, Shots 17–4, Shots on target 3–0, Shots inside box 12–2, Big chances 4–0, Corners 6–5, Saves 0–1, Fouls 27–13, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Canada vs Peru?
No. It finished 2–0, so Peru failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 38% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Canada vs Peru right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Canada to win 70%, it finished Canada won (70% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 38%, it finished No.