Chicago Fire FC vCharlotte FC
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 78% probability, backed by Chicago's 0.61 expected-goal advantage and a combined 3.14 xG total that strongly favors an open, multi-goal contest.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Chicago Fire average 5.4 corners per game at home this season (26 competitive matches). Charlotte average 4.1 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
Chicago Fire vs Charlotte — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Chicago Fire and Charlotte — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Chicago Fire 49% · draw 28% · Charlotte 24%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.