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Bawler / USA: MLS / Charlotte
Charlotte crest

Charlotte

USA: MLS

Charlotte operate as a below-average attacking side with a lean defensive profile—1.27 xG for against 1.49 conceded marks a team vulnerable to pressure. Recent form shows volatility across seven settled fixtures, though they've managed four wins alongside two losses and a draw, suggesting inconsistency rather than directional trend. With no upcoming fixtures in the current window, focus shifts to the underlying model: Bawler's banker selections on Charlotte have landed at 57% hit rate, indicating modest predictive edge on this squad's performances going forward.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.30-0.15 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.46+0.03 vs league
◇ = USA: MLS average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Charlotte were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the USA: MLS average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Charlotte are above average there.

> xG performance · last 8 matches
0123456vs New York Red Bulls: actual 6, xG 1.13vs Philadelphia Union: actual 2, xG 1.05@ New York City: actual 2, xG 1.13@ New England Revolution: actual 0, xG 1.50vs Cincinnati: actual 2, xG 1.12vs New York City: actual 0, xG 1.49vs Toronto: actual 3, xG 1.45vs New England Revolution: actual 1, xG 1.54New YoPhilad@New Yo@New EnCincinNew YoTorontNew En
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate +5.6 goals vs xG (+0.70/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Charlotte actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.30 xG per match · -0.15 above the USA: MLS average of 1.45.
Tough market: Goals (Over/Under)
Charlotte matches give Bawler a harder read here — 2/5 (40%). Approach with caution.
> Form · last 5
Overall: 5W / 1D / 2L · Avg goals 2.0 for, 1.0 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Charlotte's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
8
8 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.30
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.46
per match
Banker Hit Rate
50%
4/8 picks
> Bawler's Banker picks on Charlotte matches
50%
hit rate over 8 picks

When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Charlotte fixture, the model lands 4 out of 8 (50%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

> Bawler's record on Charlotte by market
Goals (Over/Under)40%2/5
Result67%2/3

How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Charlotte fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Charlotte matches.

> Recent matches (last 8)

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