How it finished
China beat Maldives 3–0. Bawler's model had China in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. China had 22 shots (8 on target) to Maldives' 0 (0), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 0.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won China vs Maldives?
China beat Maldives 3–0. Bawler's model had China in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. China had 22 shots (8 on target) to Maldives' 0 (0), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 0.0.
What was the final score in China vs Maldives?
China 3–0 Maldives, played on 24 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with China 62%, the draw 23% and Maldives 15%.
What were the stats in China vs Maldives?
Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 2.9–0.0, Shots 22–0, Shots on target 8–0, Shots inside box 17–0, Big chances 6–0, Corners 15–0, Saves 0–7, Fouls 5–3, Offsides 7–0, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in China vs Maldives?
No. It finished 3–0, so Maldives failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for China vs Maldives right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said China to win 62%, it finished China won (62% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.