Colombia vPortugal
Over 2.5 Goals lands at 71% because Colombia's Luis Díaz and Portugal's Cristiano Ronaldo—each commanding 22% of their team's attacking threat—face a combined xG of 2.69 in a fixture with no clear defensive edge.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Colombia average 4.3 corners per game at home this season (3 competitive matches). Portugal average 4.3 corners per game this season (4 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
Colombia vs Portugal — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Colombia and Portugal — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Colombia 33% · draw 32% · Portugal 35%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.