How it finished
Estonia and Iceland drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Iceland at 61% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Estonia had 13 shots (3 on target) to Iceland's 12 (1), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Estonia vs Iceland?
Estonia and Iceland drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Iceland at 61% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Estonia had 13 shots (3 on target) to Iceland's 12 (1), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.6.
What was the final score in Estonia vs Iceland?
Estonia 0–0 Iceland, played on 06 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Estonia 15%, the draw 23% and Iceland 61%.
What were the stats in Estonia vs Iceland?
Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.6, Shots 13–12, Shots on target 3–1, Shots inside box 8–9, Big chances 0–1, Corners 3–7, Saves 2–3, Fouls 10–9, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Estonia vs Iceland?
No. It finished 0–0, so Estonia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Estonia vs Iceland right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Iceland to win 61%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.