How it finished
Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Faroe Islands at 58% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Faroe Islands had 15 shots (5 on target) to Kazakhstan's 10 (2), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Faroe Islands at 58% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Faroe Islands had 15 shots (5 on target) to Kazakhstan's 10 (2), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.4.
What was the final score in Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
Faroe Islands 1–1 Kazakhstan, played on 26 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Faroe Islands 58%, the draw 25% and Kazakhstan 17%.
What were the stats in Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.4, Shots 15–10, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 10–3, Big chances 3–2, Corners 7–5, Saves 1–3, Fouls 10–10, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 0–2.
Did both teams score in Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
Yes — both Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Faroe Islands or draw 83%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished Yes.