How it finished
Maritimo beat FC Famalicao 2–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Famalicao at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Maritimo 20%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. FC Famalicao had 14 shots (4 on target) to Maritimo's 9 (4), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won FC Famalicao vs Maritimo?
Maritimo beat FC Famalicao 2–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Famalicao at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Maritimo 20%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. FC Famalicao had 14 shots (4 on target) to Maritimo's 9 (4), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.6.
What was the final score in FC Famalicao vs Maritimo?
FC Famalicao 1–2 Maritimo, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Famalicao 48%, the draw 32% and Maritimo 20%.
What were the stats in FC Famalicao vs Maritimo?
Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.6, Shots 14–9, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 8–7, Big chances 1–5, Corners 5–1, Saves 2–3, Fouls 11–16, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in FC Famalicao vs Maritimo?
Yes — both FC Famalicao and Maritimo scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for FC Famalicao vs Maritimo right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Famalicao or draw 80%, it finished Maritimo won (20% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 70%, it finished Landed.