How it finished
Fenerbahce and Lyon drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Fenerbahce at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Fenerbahce had 12 shots (5 on target) to Lyon's 12 (5), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Fenerbahce vs Lyon?
Fenerbahce and Lyon drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Fenerbahce at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Fenerbahce had 12 shots (5 on target) to Lyon's 12 (5), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 0.8.
What was the final score in Fenerbahce vs Lyon?
Fenerbahce 1–1 Lyon, played on 18 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fenerbahce 46%, the draw 27% and Lyon 27%.
What were the stats in Fenerbahce vs Lyon?
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–0.8, Shots 12–12, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 7–5, Big chances 1–1, Corners 3–0, Saves 4–4, Fouls 13–13, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Fenerbahce vs Lyon?
Yes — both Fenerbahce and Lyon scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Fenerbahce vs Lyon right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Fenerbahce or draw 73%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed.