EUROPE: Champions League - QualificationTuesday 18 Aug, 19:00 UTC

Fenerbahce vLyon

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Fenerbahce 49%Draw 30%Lyon 21%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
76%
How we get there
FenerbahcestepLyon
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
Lyon or draw
26%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Fenerbahçe average 6.7 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Lyon average 5.3 corners per game away from home this season (23 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Fenerbahce fixtures & form →Lyon fixtures & form →

Fenerbahce vs Lyon — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Fenerbahce and Lyon — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Fenerbahce 49% · draw 30% · Lyon 21%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Fenerbahce predictions & form →Lyon predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.