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Bawler / FRANCE: Ligue 1 / Lyon
Lyon crest

Lyon

FRANCE: Ligue 1

Lyon present a fundamentally imbalanced attacking profile, generating just 1.59 expected goals per match whilst conceding 1.35—a side that struggles to impose itself offensively despite reasonable defensive solidity. Recent form has been poor, returning one win and one draw across their last six settled fixtures, with losses dominating a troubling sequence. With no upcoming fixtures in the immediate window, the model will await Lyon's next scheduled match to reassess. Bawler's banker picks on Lyon have maintained a perfect 100% hit rate across six selections, signalling strong predictive consistency on this team's matchups.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.59+0.19 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.350.13 vs league
◇ = FRANCE: Ligue 1 average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Lyon were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Lyon are above average there.

> xG performance · last 6 matches
01234vs Celta Vigo: actual 0, xG 1.45vs Monaco: actual 1, xG 1.62@ Angers: actual 0, xG 1.36vs Rennes: actual 4, xG 2.00@ Toulouse: actual 1, xG 1.61vs Lens: actual 0, xG 1.52Celta Monaco@AngersRennes@ToulouLens
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate -3.6 goals vs xG (-0.59/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Lyon actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.59 xG per match · +0.19 above the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average of 1.40.
Bawler's edge: Goals (Over/Under)
Banker picks in this market land 100% of the time on Lyon fixtures (5/5).
> Form · last 5
Overall: 1W / 1D / 4L · Avg goals 1.0 for, 2.0 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Lyon's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
6
6 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.59
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.35
per match
Banker Hit Rate
100%
6/6 picks
> Bawler's Banker picks on Lyon matches
100%
hit rate over 6 picks

When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Lyon fixture, the model lands 6 out of 6 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

> Recent matches (last 6)

> More from Bawler