Netherlands: EredivisieSunday 16 Aug, 12:30 UTC

Feyenoord Rotterdam vGo Ahead Eagles

Most likely scoreline
20
11% of the time · 3.39 goals expected
Feyenoord Rotterdam 70%Draw 20%Go Ahead Eagles 10%
Strongest call
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win
88%

Feyenoord's home win stands at 70% probability, built on a dominant 1.63 expected-goals advantage led by striker Santiago Giménez's creative pull in the attack.

How we get there
Feyenoord RotterdamstepGo Ahead Eagles
2.22Base xG · rolling 26-match0.93
× 1.13Home advantage · Home× 0.94
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
2.51Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.88
Most likely outcomes
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win
88%
Not both teams to score
52%
Under 2.5 goals
28%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Feyenoord average 7.3 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Go Ahead Eagles average 4.6 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
3
3
1
1
8
7
3
1
2
11
9
4
1
3
9
8
3
1
4
6
5
2
1
5
3
2
1
6
1
1
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Feyenoord vs Go Ahead Eagles — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Feyenoord and Go Ahead Eagles — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Feyenoord 70% · draw 20% · Go Ahead Eagles 10%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Feyenoord Rotterdam 22 Go Ahead Eagles
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.