Genclerbirligi vs Fenerbahce prediction — Süper Lig · Sat 15 Aug · 19:30 UK

Süper Lig · Sat 15 Aug · 19:30 UK
Genclerbirligi 34Draw 33Fenerbahce 33
Our call before kickoff
67%
Genclerbirligi or draw
Landed
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
52%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
47%

How it finished

Genclerbirligi beat Fenerbahce 2–1. Bawler's model had Genclerbirligi in front at 34% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Genclerbirligi had 10 shots (3 on target) to Fenerbahce's 28 (11), with 29% of the ball against 71%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 3.3, so Fenerbahce created the better chances and still lost the game.

GenclerbirligiFull-time statsFenerbahce
29%Possession71%
1.2Expected goals (xG)3.3
10Shots28
3Shots on target11
4Shots inside box22
2Big chances7
1Corners12
10Saves1
7Fouls10
0Offsides2
0Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callGenclerbirligi or draw 67%Genclerbirligi won (34% called)
Total goals2.63
Both teams to score52%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 75%Landed
Second pickUnder 2.5 goals 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

GenclerbirligiFenerbahce
1.3
Goals
1.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals74%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Genclerbirligi to score72%
Fenerbahce to score72%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.0 / match
Fenerbahce in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Genclerbirligi vs Fenerbahce?

Genclerbirligi beat Fenerbahce 2–1. Bawler's model had Genclerbirligi in front at 34% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Genclerbirligi had 10 shots (3 on target) to Fenerbahce's 28 (11), with 29% of the ball against 71%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 3.3, so Fenerbahce created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Genclerbirligi vs Fenerbahce?

Genclerbirligi 2–1 Fenerbahce, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Genclerbirligi 34%, the draw 33% and Fenerbahce 33%.

What were the stats in Genclerbirligi vs Fenerbahce?

Full-time: Possession 29%–71%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–3.3, Shots 10–28, Shots on target 3–11, Shots inside box 4–22, Big chances 2–7, Corners 1–12, Saves 10–1, Fouls 7–10, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Genclerbirligi vs Fenerbahce?

Yes — both Genclerbirligi and Fenerbahce scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Genclerbirligi vs Fenerbahce right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Genclerbirligi or draw 67%, it finished Genclerbirligi won (34% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Genclerbirligi form →Fenerbahce form →