Genclerbirligi beat Fenerbahce 2–1. Bawler's model had Genclerbirligi in front at 34% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Genclerbirligi had 10 shots (3 on target) to Fenerbahce's 28 (11), with 29% of the ball against 71%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 3.3, so Fenerbahce created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Genclerbirligi beat Fenerbahce 2–1. Bawler's model had Genclerbirligi in front at 34% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Genclerbirligi had 10 shots (3 on target) to Fenerbahce's 28 (11), with 29% of the ball against 71%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 3.3, so Fenerbahce created the better chances and still lost the game.
Genclerbirligi 2–1 Fenerbahce, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Genclerbirligi 34%, the draw 33% and Fenerbahce 33%.
Full-time: Possession 29%–71%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–3.3, Shots 10–28, Shots on target 3–11, Shots inside box 4–22, Big chances 2–7, Corners 1–12, Saves 10–1, Fouls 7–10, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 0–1.
Yes — both Genclerbirligi and Fenerbahce scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Genclerbirligi or draw 67%, it finished Genclerbirligi won (34% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.