TURKEY: Super LigSaturday 15 Aug, 18:30 UTC

Genclerbirligi vFenerbahce

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Genclerbirligi 34%Draw 33%Fenerbahce 33%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
75%
How we get there
GenclerbirligistepFenerbahce
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
Fenerbahce to win
25%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Gençlerbirliği average 4.3 corners per game at home this season (18 competitive matches). Fenerbahçe average 6.3 corners per game away from home this season (24 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Genclerbirligi vs Fenerbahce — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Genclerbirligi and Fenerbahce — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Genclerbirligi 34% · draw 33% · Fenerbahce 33%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Genclerbirligi 21 Fenerbahce
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.