How it finished
Georgia and Ukraine drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Ukraine at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. Georgia had 14 shots (5 on target) to Ukraine's 7 (2), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Georgia vs Ukraine?
Georgia and Ukraine drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Ukraine at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. Georgia had 14 shots (5 on target) to Ukraine's 7 (2), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.2.
What was the final score in Georgia vs Ukraine?
Georgia 0–0 Ukraine, played on 28 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Georgia 23%, the draw 26% and Ukraine 51%.
What were the stats in Georgia vs Ukraine?
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–0.2, Shots 14–7, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 4–3, Big chances 1–0, Corners 4–0, Saves 2–5, Fouls 13–14, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 2–4.
Did both teams score in Georgia vs Ukraine?
No. It finished 0–0, so Georgia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Georgia vs Ukraine right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Ukraine or draw 77%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.