Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands prediction — UEFA Nations League · Tue 6 Oct · 15:00 UK

UEFA Nations League · Tue 6 Oct · 15:00 UK
Kazakhstan 29Draw 29Faroe Islands 41
Our call before kickoff
71%
Faroe Islands or draw
Landed
2.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
65%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
47%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
42%

How it finished

Kazakhstan and Faroe Islands drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Faroe Islands at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 29%. It forecast 2.3 goals; the match produced 4. Kazakhstan had 24 shots (4 on target) to Faroe Islands' 15 (4), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.2.

KazakhstanFull-time statsFaroe Islands
67%Possession33%
2.1Expected goals (xG)1.2
24Shots15
4Shots on target4
11Shots inside box11
2Big chances1
5Corners8
2Saves2
8Fouls9
3Offsides1
1Yellow cards3
1Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callFaroe Islands or draw 71%Draw (29% called)
Total goals2.34
Both teams to score47%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

KazakhstanFaroe Islands
1.0
Goals+0.3
1.3
KazakhstanFaroe Islands
0.4
Goals+0.1
0.4
KazakhstanFaroe Islands
0.7
Goals+0.2
0.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals79%
Faroe Islands to score73%
Over 1.5 goals68%
Kazakhstan to score65%

First half — what we expected

Kazakhstan
37%
to score before half-time
Faroe Islands
44%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 65%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 4Kazakhstan 1 · Draws 2 · Faroe Islands 1

Head to head

Sept 2026Faroe Islands 1–1 Kazakhstan
Nov 2025Faroe Islands 1–0 Kazakhstan
Oct 2013Faroe Islands 1–1 Kazakhstan
Sept 2013Kazakhstan 2–1 Faroe Islands
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands?

Kazakhstan and Faroe Islands drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Faroe Islands at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 29%. It forecast 2.3 goals; the match produced 4. Kazakhstan had 24 shots (4 on target) to Faroe Islands' 15 (4), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands?

Kazakhstan 2–2 Faroe Islands, played on 06 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Kazakhstan 29%, the draw 29% and Faroe Islands 41%.

What were the stats in Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands?

Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.2, Shots 24–15, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 11–11, Big chances 2–1, Corners 5–8, Saves 2–2, Fouls 8–9, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 1–3, Red cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands?

Yes — both Kazakhstan and Faroe Islands scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Faroe Islands or draw 71%, it finished Draw (29% called); Total goals — we said 2.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Kazakhstan form →Faroe Islands form →