How it finished
Montenegro beat Latvia 2–1. Bawler's model had Montenegro in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Latvia had 14 shots (2 on target) to Montenegro's 14 (6), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Latvia vs Montenegro?
Montenegro beat Latvia 2–1. Bawler's model had Montenegro in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Latvia had 14 shots (2 on target) to Montenegro's 14 (6), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.9.
What was the final score in Latvia vs Montenegro?
Latvia 1–2 Montenegro, played on 02 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Latvia 26%, the draw 26% and Montenegro 48%.
What were the stats in Latvia vs Montenegro?
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.9, Shots 14–14, Shots on target 2–6, Shots inside box 7–11, Big chances 2–3, Corners 5–2, Saves 4–1, Fouls 10–7, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Latvia vs Montenegro?
Yes — both Latvia and Montenegro scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Latvia vs Montenegro right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Montenegro or draw 74%, it finished Montenegro won (48% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.