How it finished
Malta beat Andorra 1–0. Bawler's model had Malta in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Malta had 12 shots (6 on target) to Andorra's 12 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Malta vs Andorra?
Malta beat Andorra 1–0. Bawler's model had Malta in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Malta had 12 shots (6 on target) to Andorra's 12 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.6.
What was the final score in Malta vs Andorra?
Malta 1–0 Andorra, played on 04 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Malta 61%, the draw 24% and Andorra 16%.
What were the stats in Malta vs Andorra?
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–0.6, Shots 12–12, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 9–6, Big chances 2–1, Corners 6–5, Saves 3–5, Fouls 14–16, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Malta vs Andorra?
No. It finished 1–0, so Andorra failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Malta vs Andorra right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Malta to win 61%, it finished Malta won (61% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished No.