Mauritius vs Sri Lanka prediction — International friendlies · Fri 2 Oct · 16:00 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Fri 2 Oct · 16:00 UK · Neutral venue
Mauritius 49Draw 27Sri Lanka 24
Our call before kickoff
76%
Mauritius or draw
Landed
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
68%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
51%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
48%

How it finished

Mauritius beat Sri Lanka 3–0. Bawler's model had Mauritius in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callMauritius or draw 76%Mauritius won (49% called)
Total goals2.63
Both teams to score51%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

MauritiusSri Lanka
1.6
Goals+0.5
1.0
MauritiusSri Lanka
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
MauritiusSri Lanka
1.1
Goals+0.4
0.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Mauritius to score79%
Under 3.5 goals74%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Sri Lanka to score64%

First half — what we expected

Mauritius
50%
to score before half-time
Sri Lanka
37%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Mauritius vs Sri Lanka?

Mauritius beat Sri Lanka 3–0. Bawler's model had Mauritius in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3.

What was the final score in Mauritius vs Sri Lanka?

Mauritius 3–0 Sri Lanka, played on 02 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Mauritius 49%, the draw 27% and Sri Lanka 24%.

Did both teams score in Mauritius vs Sri Lanka?

No. It finished 3–0, so Sri Lanka failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Mauritius vs Sri Lanka right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Mauritius or draw 76%, it finished Mauritius won (49% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Mauritius form →Sri Lanka form →