How it finished
Moldova and Faroe Islands drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Faroe Islands at 74% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 18%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Moldova had 22 shots (4 on target) to Faroe Islands' 6 (1), with 70% of the ball against 30%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
Moldova and Faroe Islands drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Faroe Islands at 74% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 18%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Moldova had 22 shots (4 on target) to Faroe Islands' 6 (1), with 70% of the ball against 30%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.0.
What was the final score in Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
Moldova 1–1 Faroe Islands, played on 29 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Moldova 8%, the draw 18% and Faroe Islands 74%.
What were the stats in Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
Full-time: Possession 70%–30%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.0, Shots 22–6, Shots on target 4–1, Shots inside box 13–5, Big chances 0–2, Corners 7–2, Saves 0–3, Fouls 12–11, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
Yes — both Moldova and Faroe Islands scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 43% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Moldova vs Faroe Islands right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Faroe Islands to win 74%, it finished Draw (18% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 43%, it finished Yes.