New York City FC v
Philadelphia Union
Over 1.5 Goals forecasts as the high-confidence call at 77% because New York City FC's 1.62 xG advantage and Alonso Martínez's 24% offensive share suggest sufficient attacking thrust against Philadelphia Union's 1.29 xG output.
Philadelphia UnionModel probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
New York City average 5.5 corners per game at home this season (26 competitive matches). Philadelphia Union average 5.3 corners per game away from home this season (23 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
New York City vs Philadelphia Union — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between New York City and Philadelphia Union — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: New York City 42% · draw 30% · Philadelphia Union 28%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.