How it finished
Northern Ireland and Hungary drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Northern Ireland at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; nobody scored. Northern Ireland had 10 shots (3 on target) to Hungary's 13 (1), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Northern Ireland vs Hungary?
Northern Ireland and Hungary drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Northern Ireland at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; nobody scored. Northern Ireland had 10 shots (3 on target) to Hungary's 13 (1), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.0.
What was the final score in Northern Ireland vs Hungary?
Northern Ireland 0–0 Hungary, played on 28 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Northern Ireland 36%, the draw 28% and Hungary 35%.
What were the stats in Northern Ireland vs Hungary?
Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.0, Shots 10–13, Shots on target 3–1, Shots inside box 5–10, Big chances 1–0, Corners 3–2, Saves 1–3, Fouls 15–15, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 4–2.
Did both teams score in Northern Ireland vs Hungary?
No. It finished 0–0, so Northern Ireland failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Northern Ireland vs Hungary right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Northern Ireland or draw 65%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 72%, it finished Missed.