How it finished
Palestine and New Zealand drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Palestine at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Palestine vs New Zealand?
Palestine and New Zealand drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Palestine at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4.
What was the final score in Palestine vs New Zealand?
Palestine 2–2 New Zealand, played on 24 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Palestine 38%, the draw 27% and New Zealand 35%.
Did both teams score in Palestine vs New Zealand?
Yes — both Palestine and New Zealand scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Palestine vs New Zealand right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Palestine or draw 65%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.