How it finished
Panama and New Zealand drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Panama at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Panama vs New Zealand?
Panama and New Zealand drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Panama at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored.
What was the final score in Panama vs New Zealand?
Panama 1–1 New Zealand, played on 01 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Panama 49%, the draw 25% and New Zealand 26%.
Did both teams score in Panama vs New Zealand?
Yes — both Panama and New Zealand scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Panama vs New Zealand right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Panama or draw 74%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Missed.