NETHERLANDS: EredivisieSunday 09 Aug, 12:30 UTC

PEC Zwolle vAjax Amsterdam

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
PEC Zwolle 45%Draw 30%Ajax Amsterdam 25%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
77%
How we get there
PEC ZwollestepAjax Amsterdam
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Both teams to score
53%
Over 3.5 goals
24%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Zwolle average 3.9 corners per game at home this season (18 competitive matches). Ajax average 4.9 corners per game away from home this season (23 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

PEC Zwolle fixtures & form →Ajax Amsterdam fixtures & form →

Zwolle vs Ajax — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Zwolle and Ajax — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Zwolle 45% · draw 30% · Ajax 25%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Zwolle predictions & form →Ajax predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax Amsterdam
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.