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Eredivisie · Team page

Ajax

FormLWWDD
88%
Our hit rate on AJA
16
Forecasts settled

Fixture run · next 4

Colour = model difficulty for Ajax
HAJ (A)
15 Oct
GRO (A)
18 Oct
ATA (H)
22 Oct
SPA (A)
25 Oct

This season · per game

Bar = vs Eredivisie average · 12 matches since 1 Jul 2026
24.3lge avg 14.3
Shots per game
8.5lge avg 5.0
Shots on target per game
3.0lge avg 1.7
Goals scored per game
1.5lge avg 1.9
Goals conceded per game
3.0lge avg 1.6
xG for per game
1.1lge avg 1.7
xG against per game
8.1lge avg 4.9
Corners per game
Next fixture · Thu 15 Oct 17:45
Hajduk SplitHajduk SplitvsAjaxAjax
Medium confidence · Over 2.5 goals69%
Ajax win29%
Draw23%
Hajduk Split win49%
Most likely score2-1 · 9%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Both teams to scoreYes · 68%
Locked ~17:00 UK, before kickoffFull match preview →
Key players · attacking outputPer 90 · this season
AjaxKasper DolbergFWD · 0.84 xG per 900.84
AjaxMarcos LeonardoFWD · 0.84 xG per 900.84
AjaxOscar GloukhMID · 0.63 xG per 900.63
Our record on Ajax · settled in publicFull track record →
10 OctAjax v NijmegenOver 1.5 goals87%WON
19 SeptAjax v ExcelsiorAjax to win61%LOST
15 SeptAjax v Willem IIAjax to win74%WON
12 SeptSittard v AjaxOver 1.5 goals82%WON
AjaxAjax· continues from the hero above56 competitive matches · friendlies excluded · updated daily

Form · last 6

Newest first · click a tile for the settled forecast
DRAW1–1vs Nijmegen10 OctDRAW2–2vs Excelsior19 SeptWIN5–1vs Willem II15 SeptWIN5–1@ Sittard12 SeptLOSS1–3vs PSV5 SeptWIN4–0@ Telstar30 Aug
At home · per gameThey produceThey allow
Goals1.81.3
Shots17.511.2
On target6.54.1
Corners5.93.5
Away · per gameThey produceThey allow
Goals2.11.6
Shots14.714.0
On target5.65.0
Corners5.25.6
At home · per game · 1st halfThey produceThey allow
Goals1.00.5
Shots7.74.9
On target3.11.7
Corners2.71.6
27 of the 30 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
Away · per game · 1st halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.80.8
Shots6.25.8
On target2.62.0
Corners2.02.6
24 of the 26 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
At home · per game · 2nd halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.70.8
Shots8.76.6
On target2.92.5
Corners2.82.0
27 of the 30 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
Away · per game · 2nd halfThey produceThey allow
Goals1.20.8
Shots8.08.3
On target2.83.1
Corners2.83.1
24 of the 26 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.

Squad · 27 players

Coach Míchel · ★ = model's key threats · from FotMob, 8 Oct 2026
Goalkeepers
1Marc ter Stegen34 · GER
26Maarten Paes28 · IDN
Defenders
2Lucas Rosa26 · BRA
3Anton Gaaei23 · DEN
5Owen Wijndal26 · NED
6Thilo Kehrer30 · GER
12Caio Henrique29 · BRA
+5 more
15Youri Baas23 · NED
17Daley Blind36 · NED
21Jofre Torrents19 · ESP
30Aaron Bouwman19 · NED
36Dies Janse20 · NED
Midfielders
Yves Bissouma30 · MLI
4Sofyan Amrabat30 · MAR
8Julian Brandt30 · GER
10Oscar Gloukh★22 · ISR
18Davy Klaassen33 · NED
+2 more
24Jorthy Mokio18 · COD
68Abdellah Ouazane17 · MAR
Forwards
7Simon Adingra24 · CIV
9Kasper Dolberg★29 · DEN
11Viktor Tsigankov28 · UKR
20Oliver Edvardsen27 · NOR
23Steven Berghuis34 · NED
+3 more
38Marcos Leonardo★23 · BRA
43Rayane Bounida20 · MAR
99Tolu Arokodare25 · NGA

Transfer desk · this window

All 41 moves →
INYves BissoumaDM · from Free agentUndisclosed17 Sept
OUTAmourricho van Axel DongenST · to Free agentUndisclosed3 Sept
OUTPaul ReversonGK · to De GraafschapLoan3 Sept
INGerónimo SpinaCB · from Atlético Madrid€400k2 Sept
INSimon AdingraLWB · from SunderlandLoan2 Sept

Common questions

Who do Ajax play next?

Ajax play Hajduk Split away on Thu 15 Oct 17:45 UK. The published call is over 2.5 goals, at 69%. Read the full match preview

What is the model's Ajax v Hajduk Split call?

Medium confidence: Over 2.5 goals, at 69%. The forecast is published and locked at about 17:00 UK, usually around two days before kickoff, so it can be graded afterwards. See every market for this fixture

How accurate has Bawler been on Ajax?

14 of 16 settled Ajax forecasts were right (88%). Every one was published before kickoff and graded in public. See the full track record

What are Ajax averaging this season?

24.3 shots and 3.0 goals a game, conceding 1.5, counted over 12 competitive matches (since 1 Jul 2026) with friendlies excluded — every one a counted match result, not a projection. Compare it with the rest of the league

Who have Ajax signed and sold?

41 confirmed moves in the current window. The newest in: Yves Bissouma, Gerónimo Spina, Simon Adingra. The newest out: Amourricho van Axel Dongen, Paul Reverson. 4 of this club's moves have a written report. Follow the transfer desk

Ajax moves we wrote up

4 written up · 37 more confirmed in the windowTransfer desk →
In
Marcos LeonardoST · from Al Hilal€20m17 Jul
Caio HenriqueLB · from Monaco€11m30 Jun
Out
Mika GodtsLW · to Paris Saint-Germain€45m16 Aug
Sean SteurCM · to Newcastle United€23m9 Jul

The Ajax fixtures after that

Win, draw and loss are Ajax's own chances
DateFixtureWinDrawLossO/U 2.5BTTSStrongest call
Sun 18 Oct@ Groningen43%24%33%Over 67%Yes 67%Both teams to score 67%
Thu 22 Octvs Atalanta39%26%36%Over 59%Yes 61%Both teams to score 61%
Sun 25 Oct@ Sparta Rotterdam51%23%26%Over 66%Yes 65%Over 2.5 goals 66%

Eredivisie table

FotMob, 13 Oct 2026
#TeamPWDLGF-GAGDPts
1Feyenoord862027-7+2020
2PSV Eindhoven861126-10+1619
3AZ Alkmaar861118-8+1019
4FC Twente852116-8+817
5Ajax843122-10+1215
6FC Groningen842220-14+614
7Fortuna Sittard842214-15-114
8Go Ahead Eagles825119-17+211
9Excelsior832316-14+211
10SC Heerenveen823311-1109
11NEC Nijmegen823313-14-19
12Cambuur822411-19-88
13FC Utrecht822414-25-118
14Sparta Rotterdam813413-20-76
15Telstar81347-14-76
16PEC Zwolle81166-21-154
17ADO Den Haag80359-19-103
18Willem II80267-23-162