Portland Timbers vSeattle Sounders FC
Over 1.5 Goals at 77% probability sits comfortably on a combined 2.99 xG and Portland's 1.59 shot creation at home, where both sides project to trade chances consistently.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Portland Timbers average 5.1 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). Seattle Sounders average 5.3 corners per game away from home this season (26 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders — Head-to-Head
In 1 recorded meeting since 17 July 2026, Portland Timbers have won 1, Seattle Sounders have won 0, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 17 July 2026 | Seattle Sounders 1–5 Portland Timbers | USA: MLS |
The model's verdict for this fixture: Portland Timbers 39% · draw 30% · Seattle Sounders 31%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.