Bawler / USA: MLS / Seattle Sounders
Team profile

Seattle Sounders Prediction

Per-game numbers from 51 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
13.9
a game
12.7 faced
On target
4.9
a game
5.0 faced
Goals
1.6 – 1.5
scored – conceded
a game, 51 matches
Next match
27%
Seattle Sounders win chance
vs Vancouver Whitecaps · Mon 17 Aug 02:30

Seattle Sounders prediction: for Seattle Sounders's next match — Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps on Monday 17 Aug, 02:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Vancouver Whitecaps are favoured (42%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Seattle Sounders sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.46 expected goals a game and conceding 1.32. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.00 goals a game against 1.46 expected. Recent form is poor — 5 defeats in a row. Next up is Vancouver Whitecaps, where the model has them as underdogs at 27%.

Seattle Sounders in numbers

51 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.6
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
Home 2.1Away 1.0
5.1
Corners · per game
give up 4.7
Home 4.8Away 5.3
13.9
Shots · per game
faced 12.7
Home 14.5Away 13.3
4.9
On target · per game
faced 5.0
Home 5.7Away 4.2
Last 6 games
13 Aug
1-2
vs Guadalajara Chivas
5-13
09 Aug
3-0
vs Queretaro
2-4
06 Aug
0-3
@ Toluca
1-12
02 Aug
1-2
@ Portland Timbers
5-4
25 Jul
0-1
@ Philadelphia Union
1-6
23 Jul
1-3
@ Austin
4-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Vancouver Whitecaps · Monday 17 Aug, 02:30 UTC

Win
27%
This team
Draw
30%
Loss
42%
Opponent
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 76%
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Seattle Sounders compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.46
Below average
Goals against
1.32
Tighter than most
Record
3W 3D 5L
11 settled
Real goals
1.0 – 1.6
For / against, per match
Scored1.46
Conceded1.32

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
5-match losing run
Form line shows consecutive losses in their most recent settled fixtures. Confidence is low going into the next match.
Squad availability · Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Fetching squad availability…

Injuries, suspensions and doubts for both squads, from FotMob. Updates as kickoff nears.

How Bawler has done on Seattle Sounders

55%
of high-confidence calls correct — 6 of 11, below the ~65% baseline — a hard team to read
Result50%3/6
Goals (Over/Under)60%3/5

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Later fixtures

Thu 20 Augvs Austin FC
Sun 23 Aug@ FC Cincinnati

Recent matches (last 10)

Sun 02 Aug@ Portland Timbers
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 26 Jul@ Philadelphia Union
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 23 Jul@ Austin FC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Fri 17 Julvs Portland Timbers
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 17 Mayvs LA Galaxy
High confidence: 1X
Thu 14 Mayvs San Jose Earthquakes
High confidence: X2
Sun 10 Mayvs San Diego FC
High confidence: X2
Sat 02 May@ Sporting Kansas City
High confidence: X2
Sun 05 Apr@ Houston Dynamo
High confidence: X2
Sun 22 Mar@ Minnesota United
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INMax AnchorGKfrom Vancouver WhitecapsFree transfer
INRyan SailorCBfrom Inter Miami CFFree transfer
OUTGeorgi MinoungouLWto Colorado RapidsFree transfer
OUTReed Baker-WhitingLBto Nashville SC€875k
OUTRyan KentLWto Free agentFree transfer
OUTCody BakerRBto New England RevolutionLoan
OUTJon BellCBto Austin FCFree transfer
OUTYu TsukanomeAMto Pittsburgh RiverhoundsLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Seattle Sounders and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly