NETHERLANDS: EredivisieSaturday 08 Aug, 18:00 UTC

PSV Eindhoven vFortuna Sittard

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
PSV Eindhoven 64%Draw 22%Fortuna Sittard 14%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
84%
How we get there
PSV EindhovenstepFortuna Sittard
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Fortuna Sittard or draw
19%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

PSV average 7.4 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Sittard average 3.5 corners per game away from home this season (18 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

PSV Eindhoven fixtures & form →Fortuna Sittard fixtures & form →

PSV vs Sittard — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between PSV and Sittard — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: PSV 64% · draw 22% · Sittard 14%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

PSV predictions & form →Sittard predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
PSV Eindhoven 2–2 Fortuna Sittard
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.