Bawler / NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie / Sittard
Team profile

Sittard Prediction

Per-game numbers from 37 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
12.8
a game
15.2 faced
On target
4.6
a game
5.7 faced
Goals
1.5 – 1.8
scored – conceded
a game, 37 matches
Next match
42%
Sittard win chance
vs AZ Alkmaar · Sat 22 Aug 14:30

Sittard prediction: for Sittard's next match — Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar on Saturday 22 Aug, 14:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Sittard win looks most likely (42%).

Sittard are vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.94 expected goals a game against an Eredivisie average of 1.53. Next up is AZ Alkmaar, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 42%.

Sittard in numbers

37 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.5
Goals · per game
let in 1.8
Home 1.8Away 1.3
4.3
Corners · per game
give up 6.8
Home 5.0Away 3.5
12.8
Shots · per game
faced 15.2
Home 14.7Away 10.7
4.6
On target · per game
faced 5.7
Home 4.6Away 4.7
Last 6 games
15 Aug
3-1
vs Cambuur
6-7
15 Aug
3-1
vs SC Cambuur
6-7
08 Aug
2-2
@ PSV
0-9
17 May
0-2
@ Utrecht
5-2
10 May
3-2
vs Zwolle
6-5
03 May
1-2
vs Feyenoord
1-8

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs AZ Alkmaar · Saturday 22 Aug, 14:30 UTC

Win
42%
Sittard
Draw
29%
Loss
29%
AZ Alkmaar
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Sittard compare with the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie average, per match.

Goals for
1.41
Below average
Goals against
1.94
Leakier than most
Record
2W 1D 3L
6 settled
Real goals
1.7 – 1.8
For / against, per match
Scored1.41
Conceded1.94

The grey line on each bar is the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie average (1.42 scored, 1.53 conceded).

What the data says
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.94 xG per match · +0.41 vs league average of 1.53.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Sittard fixtures (6/6).

How Bawler has done on Sittard

100%
of high-confidence calls correct — 6 of 6, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)100%6/6

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

Sat 15 Augvs SC Cambuur
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 08 Aug@ PSV Eindhoven
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 17 May@ FC Utrecht
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 10 Mayvs PEC Zwolle
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 03 Mayvs Feyenoord
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 21 Marvs Twente
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

More on Sittard and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly