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Bawler / Netherlands: Eredivisie / PSV
PSV crest

PSV

Netherlands: Eredivisie

PSV operate as a clinical attacking unit with a +0.43 xG differential, averaging 1.98 goals scored against 1.55 conceded per match—a profile built on conversion efficiency rather than volume dominance. Recent form shows two wins from their last four settled fixtures, though a draw and loss suggest occasional inconsistency. With no imminent fixture in the current window, attention turns to the model's next PSV assignment. Bawler's banker picks on PSV have maintained a perfect 100% strike rate across four selections, signalling strong predictive alignment on this side.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.98+0.32 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.550.13 vs league
◇ = Netherlands: Eredivisie average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals PSV were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the Netherlands: Eredivisie average — if the bar extends past the diamond, PSV are above average there.

> xG performance · last 4 matches
012345@ Telstar: actual 1, xG 1.86@ Ajax: actual 2, xG 2.13@ Go Ahead Eagles: actual 4, xG 2.17vs Twente: actual 5, xG 1.75@Telsta@Ajax@Go AheTwente
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate +4.1 goals vs xG (+1.02/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals PSV actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.98 xG per match · +0.32 above the Netherlands: Eredivisie average of 1.66.
Bawler's edge: Goals (Over/Under)
Banker picks in this market land 100% of the time on PSV fixtures (3/3).
> Form · last 4
Overall: 2W / 1D / 1L · Avg goals 3.0 for, 1.8 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from PSV's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
4
4 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.98
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.55
per match
Banker Hit Rate
100%
4/4 picks

> Recent matches (last 4)

> More from Bawler