Belgium: Pro LeagueSunday 16 Aug, 14:00 UTC

RAAL La Louvière vKAA Gent

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.41 goals expected
RAAL La Louvière 35%Draw 34%KAA Gent 32%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
75%

Over 1.5 Goals projects at 75% because both sides generate similar attacking threat (RAAL 1.24 xG, Gent 1.17 xG), leaving a low-variance fixture where multiple goals remain likeliest.

How we get there
RAAL La LouvièrestepKAA Gent
1.10Base xG · rolling 26-match1.25
× 1.13Home advantage · Home× 0.94
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.24Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.17
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
75%
RAAL La Louvière to win
51%
KAA Gent to win
24%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

RAAL La Louviere average 6.0 corners per game at home this season (19 competitive matches). KAA Gent average 4.7 corners per game away from home this season (3 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
9
11
6
2
1
1
11
13
8
3
1
2
7
8
5
2
1
3
3
3
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

RAAL La Louvière vs KAA Gent — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between RAAL La Louvière and KAA Gent — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: RAAL La Louvière 35% · draw 34% · KAA Gent 32%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
RAAL La Louvière 12 KAA Gent
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.