Racing Santander vs Villarreal prediction — LaLiga · Sun 16 Aug · 16:00 UK

LaLiga · Sun 16 Aug · 16:00 UK
Racing Santander 42Draw 32Villarreal 26
Our call before kickoff
74%
Racing Santander or draw
Landed
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2
Both teams score (before kick-off)
52%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
49%

How it finished

Racing Santander and Villarreal drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Racing Santander at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 32%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Racing Santander had 17 shots (3 on target) to Villarreal's 12 (7), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.9.

Racing…Full-time statsVillarreal
41%Possession59%
2.0Expected goals (xG)0.9
17Shots12
3Shots on target7
9Shots inside box7
2Big chances1
6Corners10
5Saves3
14Fouls14
1Offsides3
2Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callRacing Santander or draw 74%Draw (32% called)
Total goals2.64
Both teams to score52%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 70%Landed
Second pick (as published before kickoff)Racing Santander to win 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Racing SantanderVillarreal
1.5
Goals+0.4
1.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Racing Santander to score77%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals73%
Villarreal to score68%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Racing Santander 2 · Draws 1 · Villarreal 2
Villarreal in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Dec 2025Racing Santander 2–1 Villarreal
Apr 2013Villarreal 1–0 Racing Santander
Nov 2012Racing Santander 0–3 Villarreal
Apr 2012Villarreal 1–1 Racing Santander
Dec 2011Racing Santander 1–0 Villarreal
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Racing Santander vs Villarreal?

Racing Santander and Villarreal drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Racing Santander at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 32%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Racing Santander had 17 shots (3 on target) to Villarreal's 12 (7), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.9.

What was the final score in Racing Santander vs Villarreal?

Racing Santander 2–2 Villarreal, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Racing Santander 42%, the draw 32% and Villarreal 26%.

What were the stats in Racing Santander vs Villarreal?

Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–0.9, Shots 17–12, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 2–1, Corners 6–10, Saves 5–3, Fouls 14–14, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in Racing Santander vs Villarreal?

Yes — both Racing Santander and Villarreal scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Racing Santander vs Villarreal right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Racing Santander or draw 74%, it finished Draw (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 70%, it finished Landed; Second pick (as published before kickoff) — we said Racing Santander to win 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Racing Santander form →Villarreal form →