EUROPE: Europa League - QualificationThursday 13 Aug, 18:30 UTC

Rangers vJagiellonia Bialystok

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Rangers 44%Draw 39%Jagiellonia Bialystok 17%
Strongest call
Under 2.5 goals
82%
How we get there
RangersstepJagiellonia Bialystok
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Under 2.5 goals
82%
Rangers or draw
51%
Jagiellonia Bialystok or draw
25%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Rangers average 6.5 corners per game at home this season (27 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Rangers fixtures & form →Jagiellonia Bialystok fixtures & form →

Rangers vs Jagiellonia Bialystok — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 6 August 2026, Rangers have won 0, Jagiellonia Bialystok have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
6 August 2026Jagiellonia Bialystok 2–1 RangersEurope: Europa League - Qualification

The model's verdict for this fixture: Rangers 44% · draw 39% · Jagiellonia Bialystok 17%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Rangers predictions & form →Jagiellonia Bialystok predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Rangers 1–1 Jagiellonia Bialystok
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.