Real Betis beat Real Sociedad 1–0. Bawler's model had Real Betis in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Real Betis had 18 shots (7 on target) to Real Sociedad's 9 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.4, so Real Sociedad created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Real Betis beat Real Sociedad 1–0. Bawler's model had Real Betis in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Real Betis had 18 shots (7 on target) to Real Sociedad's 9 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.4, so Real Sociedad created the better chances and still lost the game.
Real Betis 1–0 Real Sociedad, played on 21 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Betis 53%, the draw 24% and Real Sociedad 22%.
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.4, Shots 18–9, Shots on target 7–3, Shots inside box 9–5, Big chances 1–2, Corners 4–5, Saves 3–6, Fouls 9–12, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 3–3.
No. It finished 1–0, so Real Sociedad failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Real Betis or draw 78%, it finished Real Betis won (53% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Real Betis to win 53%, it finished Landed.