Real Betis vs Real Sociedad prediction — LaLiga · Fri 21 Aug · 20:00 UK

LaLiga · Fri 21 Aug · 20:00 UK
Real Betis 53Draw 24Real Sociedad 22
Our call before kickoff
78%
Real Betis or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

Real Betis beat Real Sociedad 1–0. Bawler's model had Real Betis in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Real Betis had 18 shots (7 on target) to Real Sociedad's 9 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.4, so Real Sociedad created the better chances and still lost the game.

Real BetisFull-time statsReal Sociedad
48%Possession52%
1.1Expected goals (xG)1.4
18Shots9
7Shots on target3
9Shots inside box5
1Big chances2
4Corners5
3Saves6
9Fouls12
1Offsides3
3Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callReal Betis or draw 78%Real Betis won (53% called)
Total goals2.91
Both teams to score56%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Missed
Second pickReal Betis to win 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Real BetisReal Sociedad
1.8
Goals+0.7
1.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Real Betis to score84%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Real Sociedad to score67%
Under 3.5 goals66%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Real Betis 2 · Draws 1 · Real Sociedad 2
Real Sociedad in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

May 2026Real Sociedad 2–2 Real Betis
Sept 2025Real Betis 3–1 Real Sociedad
Feb 2025Real Betis 3–0 Real Sociedad
Dec 2024Real Sociedad 2–0 Real Betis
May 2024Real Betis 0–2 Real Sociedad
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Real Betis vs Real Sociedad?

Real Betis beat Real Sociedad 1–0. Bawler's model had Real Betis in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Real Betis had 18 shots (7 on target) to Real Sociedad's 9 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.4, so Real Sociedad created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Real Betis vs Real Sociedad?

Real Betis 1–0 Real Sociedad, played on 21 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Betis 53%, the draw 24% and Real Sociedad 22%.

What were the stats in Real Betis vs Real Sociedad?

Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.4, Shots 18–9, Shots on target 7–3, Shots inside box 9–5, Big chances 1–2, Corners 4–5, Saves 3–6, Fouls 9–12, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 3–3.

Did both teams score in Real Betis vs Real Sociedad?

No. It finished 1–0, so Real Sociedad failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Real Betis vs Real Sociedad right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Real Betis or draw 78%, it finished Real Betis won (53% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Real Betis to win 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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