Bawler / Spain: La Liga / Real Sociedad
Team profile

Real Sociedad Prediction

Per-game numbers from 38 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
12.3
a game
13.9 faced
On target
4.6
a game
4.5 faced
Goals
1.6 – 1.6
scored – conceded
a game, 38 matches
Next match
24%
Real Sociedad win chance
at Real Betis · Fri 21 Aug 19:00

Real Sociedad prediction: for Real Sociedad's next match — Real Betis vs Real Sociedad on Friday 21 Aug, 19:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Real Betis are favoured (47%).

Real Sociedad sit close to the La Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.43 expected goals a game and conceding 1.48. They have struggled lately, losing 2 of their last 5. Next up is a trip to Real Betis, where the model has them as underdogs at 24%.

Real Sociedad in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.6
Goals · per game
let in 1.6
Home 1.9Away 1.2
5.5
Corners · per game
give up 4.5
Home 6.0Away 5.2
12.3
Shots · per game
faced 13.9
Home 12.9Away 11.7
4.6
On target · per game
faced 4.5
Home 5.0Away 4.3
Last 6 games
23 May
1-1
@ Espanyol
5-3
17 May
3-4
vs Valencia
3-2
14 May
1-1
@ Girona
3-6
09 May
2-2
vs Real Betis
4-3
04 May
0-1
@ Sevilla
3-3
26 Apr
3-3
@ Rayo Vallecano
4-6

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Real Betis · Friday 21 Aug, 19:00 UTC

Win
24%
This team
Draw
28%
Loss
47%
Real Betis
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Real Sociedad compare with the Spain: La Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.43
Below average
Goals against
1.48
Leakier than most
Record
0W 3D 2L
5 settled
Real goals
1.6 – 2.2
For / against, per match
Scored1.43
Conceded1.48

The grey line on each bar is the Spain: La Liga average (1.44 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Real Sociedad fixtures (4/4).

How Bawler has done on Real Sociedad

100%
of high-confidence calls correct — 5 of 5, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)100%4/4

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Later fixtures

Wed 26 Aug@ Real Madrid

Recent matches (last 5)

Sat 23 May@ Espanyol
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 17 Mayvs Valencia
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 14 May@ Girona
High confidence: X2
Sat 09 Mayvs Real Betis
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Fri 20 Mar@ Villarreal
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INKazunari KitaCBfrom Kyoto Sanga FC€1.5m
INKazunari KitaCBfrom Real Sociedad BUndisclosed
OUTBrais MéndezAMto Columbus Crew€6m
OUTAritz ElustondoRBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTCarlos FernándezSTto Real OviedoUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Real Sociedad and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly