How it finished
Albania beat San Marino 3–0. Bawler's model had Albania in front at 89% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. San Marino had 6 shots (1 on target) to Albania's 14 (8), with 28% of the ball against 72%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 2.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won San Marino vs Albania?
Albania beat San Marino 3–0. Bawler's model had Albania in front at 89% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. San Marino had 6 shots (1 on target) to Albania's 14 (8), with 28% of the ball against 72%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 2.4.
What was the final score in San Marino vs Albania?
San Marino 0–3 Albania, played on 29 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with San Marino 2%, the draw 9% and Albania 89%.
What were the stats in San Marino vs Albania?
Full-time: Possession 28%–72%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–2.4, Shots 6–14, Shots on target 1–8, Shots inside box 3–9, Big chances 2–5, Corners 5–6, Saves 5–1, Fouls 6–14, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in San Marino vs Albania?
No. It finished 0–3, so San Marino failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 32% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for San Marino vs Albania right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Albania to win 89%, it finished Albania won (89% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 32%, it finished No.