Finland beat San Marino 7–0. Bawler's model had Finland in front at 85% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.9 goals; the match produced 7. San Marino had 1 shots (0 on target) to Finland's 23 (11), with 25% of the ball against 75%. Expected goals finished 0.0 to 3.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 82%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Finland beat San Marino 7–0. Bawler's model had Finland in front at 85% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.9 goals; the match produced 7. San Marino had 1 shots (0 on target) to Finland's 23 (11), with 25% of the ball against 75%. Expected goals finished 0.0 to 3.8.
San Marino 0–7 Finland, played on 26 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with San Marino 4%, the draw 10% and Finland 85%.
Full-time: Possession 25%–75%, Expected goals (xG) 0.0–3.8, Shots 1–23, Shots on target 0–11, Shots inside box 0–18, Big chances 0–5, Corners 0–4, Saves 4–0, Fouls 14–10, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 1–0.
No. It finished 0–7, so San Marino failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Finland to win 85%, it finished Finland won (85% called); Total goals — we said 3.9, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.