Seychelles vs Sri Lanka prediction — International friendlies · Wed 30 Sept · 14:00 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Wed 30 Sept · 14:00 UK · Neutral venue
Seychelles 26Draw 22Sri Lanka 52
Our call before kickoff
74%
Sri Lanka or draw
Landed
3.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
79%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
67%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
69%

How it finished

Sri Lanka beat Seychelles 2–0. Bawler's model had Sri Lanka in front at 52% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals; only 2 were scored. Seychelles had 8 shots (4 on target) to Sri Lanka's 8 (4), with 55% of the ball against 45%.

SeychellesFull-time statsSri Lanka
55%Possession45%
8Shots8
4Shots on target4
5Corners5
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSri Lanka or draw 74%Sri Lanka won (52% called)
Total goals3.62
Both teams to score67%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 87%Landed
Second pickSri Lanka to win 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

SeychellesSri Lanka
1.5
Goals+0.7
2.1
SeychellesSri Lanka
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.6
SeychellesSri Lanka
1.0
Goals+0.5
1.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Sri Lanka to score88%
Over 1.5 goals87%
Seychelles to score77%
Over 2.5 goals69%

First half — what we expected

Seychelles
47%
to score before half-time
Sri Lanka
61%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 1Seychelles 0 · Draws 0 · Sri Lanka 1

Head to head

Sept 2026Seychelles 0–3 Sri Lanka
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Seychelles vs Sri Lanka?

Sri Lanka beat Seychelles 2–0. Bawler's model had Sri Lanka in front at 52% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals; only 2 were scored. Seychelles had 8 shots (4 on target) to Sri Lanka's 8 (4), with 55% of the ball against 45%.

What was the final score in Seychelles vs Sri Lanka?

Seychelles 0–2 Sri Lanka, played on 30 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Seychelles 26%, the draw 22% and Sri Lanka 52%.

What were the stats in Seychelles vs Sri Lanka?

Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Shots 8–8, Shots on target 4–4, Corners 5–5.

Did both teams score in Seychelles vs Sri Lanka?

No. It finished 0–2, so Seychelles failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Seychelles vs Sri Lanka right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sri Lanka or draw 74%, it finished Sri Lanka won (52% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 87%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Sri Lanka to win 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Seychelles
Before this
27 SeptHSri Lanka0–3 L
All fixtures & results →Seychelles form →Sri Lanka form →