EUROPE: Conference League - QualificationThursday 13 Aug, 18:45 UTC

Shelbourne vAjax Amsterdam

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Shelbourne 40%Draw 28%Ajax Amsterdam 32%
Strongest call
Under 3.5 goals
81%
How we get there
ShelbournestepAjax Amsterdam
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Under 3.5 goals
81%
Shelbourne or Draw
68%
Shelbourne Win
40%
Draw
28%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Shelbourne average 4.0 corners per game at home this season (5 competitive matches). Ajax average 4.9 corners per game away from home this season (23 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Shelbourne fixtures & form →Ajax Amsterdam fixtures & form →

Shelbourne vs Ajax — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 6 August 2026, Shelbourne have won 0, Ajax have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
6 August 2026Ajax 3–1 ShelbourneEUROPE: Conference League - Qualification

The model's verdict for this fixture: Shelbourne 40% · draw 28% · Ajax 32%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Shelbourne predictions & form →Ajax predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Shelbourne 2–2 Ajax Amsterdam
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.