How it finished
Slovakia beat Kazakhstan 2–1. Bawler's model had Slovakia in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Slovakia had 17 shots (8 on target) to Kazakhstan's 3 (2), with 75% of the ball against 25%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
Slovakia beat Kazakhstan 2–1. Bawler's model had Slovakia in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Slovakia had 17 shots (8 on target) to Kazakhstan's 3 (2), with 75% of the ball against 25%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.2.
What was the final score in Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
Slovakia 2–1 Kazakhstan, played on 29 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Slovakia 63%, the draw 22% and Kazakhstan 15%.
What were the stats in Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
Full-time: Possession 75%–25%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–0.2, Shots 17–3, Shots on target 8–2, Shots inside box 10–1, Big chances 2–0, Corners 8–1, Saves 1–6, Fouls 8–18, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
Yes — both Slovakia and Kazakhstan scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Slovakia vs Kazakhstan right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Slovakia to win 63%, it finished Slovakia won (63% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.